Last year the race was won by European filly, Snow Fairy, again Snow Fairy will contend in the race. Snow Fairy is coming into the race with place and show finishes in some of the major races in Europe(L'Arc, Irish Champion Stakes, British Champion Stakes) against open fields. It could be possible that these races have taken their toll. Also the trainer this week discussed how she may not be her fittest after her time quarantine.
Dancing Rain also invades from Europe and comes in with a similar resume that Snow Fairy had last year. Dancing Rain could be Europe's best 3yo filly with a win in the English Oaks. DR also won the German Oaks and the top fillies and mare race on British Champions Day. Is one of the few horses in race that has raced and won at 2200m.
Italian Red will go off as either 3 or 4th favorite. IR has 8 wins in 18 races including coming off 3 straight graded stakes wins. Although the 5yo mare hasn't raced at 2200m has good final furlong times that show she may want the extra distance. Threw a clunker at Kyoto last year but now is better form.
Aventura won at this course last month in a Grade 1 race and comes in on a 3 win streak also. Feel that the extra furlong may be an issue as she did not sport the best closing times (although win) in last 2 races.
Whale Capture has never been out of the money in her 10 races. 3rd in the Japanese Oaks going 2400m so this distance shouldn't be issue. In 4 races at the G1 level hasn't broken through yet to win so maybe the bridesmaid but not the bride in this one too.
Here are the Locks:
◎2 Italian Red イタリアンレッド
○14Dancing Rain ダンシングレイン
▲18Snow Fairy スノーフェアリー
△1 Aventura アヴェンチュラ
☆3 Whale Capture ホエールキャプチャ
１０００円 単勝 Win ＃２
５００円 単勝 Win ＃１４
１００円 馬単 Exacta ＃２、＃１４、＃１８、＃１
１００円 3連単 Trifecta ＃２、＃１４、＃１８、＃１
１０００＋５００＋１００x１２＋１００x２４＝５１００円
No comments:
Post a Comment