Wednesday, August 17, 2011

York Ebor Festival - The Locks

Northern England plays stage to a 4 day meet that will feature some of the best of England's summer racing.   Today in Yorkshire will be a G1, a G2, and G3.   The G1 is the Juddmonte International, a 10f affair for 3yos+.  Monster horse, Frankel flirted with running in this race but decided against.  But the race will feature some good horses in even-money favorite Await the Dawn who has 5 wins in 6 tries, the 5/2 racemare, Midday who hasn't raced worse than 2nd since October of 2009, Twice Over,5-1 an accomplished horse that has 10wins and 18 in the $$ finishes in 23 tries.  

Lets go with the value play of Twice Over who has just recently won at the course going same distance and came in a close 2nd in this race last year.  $15 win. $5 place.  

Namibian looks like the horse to bet in the Great Voltigeur Stakes, a 12 furlong race for 3yos.  Going off at 5-1 with wins in last 2 and a win at the track as a 2yo provides more value than even money Seville who has only 1 win in its 7 race career and 7/2 Sea Moon who is 2 for 3 lifetime but yet to race against group stakes competition.   Namibian last 2 wins are both group stakes wins.  

Lets go Namibian $15 win. $5 place.

The Group 3 race is the Acorn Stakes for 2yos all somewhat indistinguishable to me but ranging in odds from 4-1 to 40-1.  Do i dare do an all over all for $144......?  I will let the bettor to decide.  Bet or pass....

Good Luck

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